Peer-reviewed papers

2016

Verbesselt, J. ; Umlauf, N.; Hirota, M.; Holmgren, M.; van Nes, E. H. ; Herold, M. ; Zeileis, A.; Scheffer, M. (2016) Remotely sensed resilience of tropical forests. Nature Climate Change, 6: 1028-1031. DOI: 10.1038/nclimate3108.

Debortoli, N.S.; Dubreuil, V.; Hirota M.; Rodrigues-Filho, S.; Lindoso, D.P.; Nabucet, J. (2016) Detecting deforestation impacts in Southern Amazonia rainfall using rain gauges. International Journal of Climatology. DOI: 10.1002/joc.4886.

Dantas, V.L.; Hirota, M.; Oliveira, R.S.; Pausas, J. G. (2016) Disturbance maintains alternative biome states. Ecology Letters19(1): 12-19. DOI: 10.1111/ele.12537.

2015

Salazar, A.; Baldi, G.; Hirota, M.; Syktus, J.; McAlpine, C. (2015) Land use and land cover change impacts on the regional climate of non-Amazonian South America: a review. Global and Planetary Change128: 103-119, doi: 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2015.02.009.

Staal, A. ; Dekker, S.C. ; Hirota, Marina ; van Nes, E.H. (2015) Synergistic effects of drought and deforestation on the resilience of the south-eastern Amazon rainforest. Ecological Complexity, 22: 65-75, doi: 10.1016/j.ecocom.2015.01.003.

2014

van Nes, E.H.; Hirota, M.; Holmgren, M.; Scheffer, M. (2014) Tipping points in tropical tree cover: linking theory to data. Glob. Change Biol.20: 1016-1021, doi: 10.1111/gbc.12398.

2013

Holmgren, M.; Hirota, M.; van Nes, E.H.; Scheffer, M. (2013) Effects of interannual variability on tropical tree cover. Nature Clim. Change, 3: 755-758, doi: 10.1038/NCLIMATE1906.

2012

Scheffer, M.; Hirota, M.; Holmgren, M.; van Nes, E.H.; Chapin III, F.S. (2012) Thresholds for boreal biome transitions. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA, 109(52): 21384-9, doi: pnas.1219844110.

2011

Hirota, M; Holmgren, M.; van Nes, E.H.; Scheffer, M. (2011) Global resilience of tropical forest and savanna to critical transitions. Science334: 232-235.

Hirota, M.; Oyama, M.D.; Nobre, C. (2011) Concurrent climate impacts of tropical South America land-cover change. Atmos. Sci. Let.12: 261-267.

2010

Hirota, M.; Nobre, C.; Oyama, M.D.; Bustamante, M.M.C. (2010) The climatic sensitivity of the forest, savanna and forest-savanna transition in tropical South America. New Phytol., 187(3): 707-719.