2014
van Nes, E.H.; Hirota, M.; Holmgren, M.; Scheffer, M. (2014) Tipping points in tropical tree cover: linking theory to data. Glob. Change Biol., 20: 1016-1021, doi: 10.1111/gbc.12398.
2013
Holmgren, M.; Hirota, M.; van Nes, E.H.; Scheffer, M. (2013) Effects of interannual variability on tropical tree cover. Nature Clim. Change, 3: 755-758, doi: 10.1038/NCLIMATE1906.
2012
Scheffer, M.; Hirota, M.; Holmgren, M.; van Nes, E.H.; Chapin III, F.S. (2012) Thresholds for boreal biome transitions. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA, 109(52): 21384-9, doi: pnas.1219844110.
2011
Hirota, M; Holmgren, M.; van Nes, E.H.; Scheffer, M. (2011) Global resilience of tropical forest and savanna to critical transitions. Science, 334: 232-235.
Hirota, M.; Oyama, M.D.; Nobre, C. (2011) Concurrent climate impacts of tropical South America land-cover change. Atmos. Sci. Let., 12: 261-267.
2010
Hirota, M.; Nobre, C.; Oyama, M.D.; Bustamante, M.M.C. (2010) The climatic sensitivity of the forest, savanna and forest-savanna transition in tropical South America. New Phytol., 187(3): 707-719.